Date: 2013-12-20 08:24 pm (UTC)
Incidentally, given the time to write, peddle, and eventually publish something, does it make sense to try to hit today's hot stuff, or even next year's hot stuff? More like several years out, isn't it?

No, by the time that a writer on the outside has:
1. identified the Hot New Trend
2. written a book to the Hot New Trend
3. submitted the book

. . .they will probably find that no one is buying that Hot New Trend any more, because it's cold, because the editors buy at least two years ahead. And nobody knows what the next Hot New Trend will be, so, it just seems to make sense to write what you love, rather than "to the market."

But then, we've never written to the market...
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